The Perfect Watchlist

January 5, 2025

Next Update In Six To Eight Weeks

A Brand New Dartboard For 2025: Like each and every year, 2025 will be a stock picker’s market. It just so happens that your odds of picking the right stocks increases when there are more stocks trending up. But when more stocks are trying to trend up, a lot more fake shows also make an appearance.

Big Money: The big money is made when you latch yourself onto one or more stocks that trend up for months. Yes, it takes time to make the big bucks.  It requires patience both while you are waiting for the right stocks, and also when you are in the right stocks.

Real-Time Decision Making: The most challenging part of any stock speculator’s operation is real-time decision-making. In hindsight, anyone can pinpoint the big wins. Some may even be right in picking the right stock in advance of a move. But in real-time, at each and every leg up, and at each and every leg down, and through shakeouts and fake outs, through gap-ups and gap-downs, making the right real-time decisions is not easy. To find the right balance of when to and where to make the right amount of commitment, and when and where to place the right stops….not easy. The human mind causes the real havoc to stock market accounts.

Carvana (CVNA): After months of an uptrend, CVNA fell-off its tradable main trend with its stop being triggered. While it offered a 300% return for those who were able to place their real-time trades correctly with the right real-time decisions, it still was a challenging stock to speculate with for most new speculators.

Why Does Everyone Make It Seem So Simple? First of all, you should not be listening to everyone. In fact, do not listen to anyone. Just listen to your stocks. If some someone makes it seem simple recognize the two key points: (a) You are placing yourself at a disadvantage by listening to another human being – no matter how big a celebrity – that person is still a human being and that is going to cause you to lose your edge. Your edge should be the fact that you see things solely with your own eyes. Would you buy a house sight unseen but based on someone else’s words? (b) You have to have an edge – something you are doing that no one else is doing or an insignificant percentage of people are doing. This is no different than in your own field. In your own profession if you are doing what everyone else is doing your odds of being successful are diminished. Have an edge, a special operation/approach that you have that very few others have.

Note: The stocks listed are in no particular order. Place your stops for all of these stocks. Even if you do not hold them currently. Paper trade them with your trailing stops, so you will recognize the time when the tide turns. If the trend in place continues, then the stocks on these lists especially those in Tier 1 and Tier 2, should hold above their stops. And those in Tier 3 should offer new entrants that present some opportunities. Be sure to place your stops correctly, the sweet spot of trying to not get hit by a shakeout and yet allow just enough leash to withstand a drawdown on an up trending stock and get you out without major losses.

The Perfect Speculator’s Watchlist

Tier 1 – Stocks In An Uptrend (Uptrend Intact For Months)

These stocks have been in an uptrend for months and along the way there have been at least one or more opportunities to make a big commitment.

PLTR (Palantir Technologies)

VRNA (Verona Pharmaceuticals)

AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics)

GDDY (Go Daddy)

SMMT (Summit Pharmaceuticals)

Tier 2 – Stocks In An Uptrend (Uptrend Intact For Weeks/Months)

These stocks have been in an uptrend for weeks/months but yet to offer an opportunity to make a  big commitment while facing zero losses. You are waiting, and doing everything right, and you may still not be entirely successful.

ASTS (AST Spacemobile)

EBS (Emergent BioSolutions)

MSTR (Microstrategy)

TSLA (Tesla)

MREO (MeReo Biopharma)

AVGO (Broadcom)

SRRK (Scholar Rock)

CRNX (Crinetics Pharmaceuticals)

Tier 3 – The Challenges Abound For The Perfect Speculator

Somewhere within this pool of stocks, there may or may not be a new winner.

QMCO (Quantum Corp)

LUNR (Intuitive Machines)

SOUN (Soundhound AI)

QUBT (Quantum Computing)

QURE (Uniqure N V)

PDYN (Palladyne)

CRNC (Cerence)

RCAT (Red Cat)

QSI (Quantum-Si)

Ideally (but is this really an ideal world?):

Tier 1 stocks will stay above their rising trailing stops. The right stocks in Tier 2 will move up into Tier 1. And the right Tier 3 stocks will move up first to Tier 2, and then to Tier 1.